#1 Pac-12
Boise State
Conf 5-0 · Overall 8-1
99%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 vs Oregon State · 74% win chance
- Wk 12 vs San Diego State · 89% win chance
Opponents' record
9-9
Toughest road rank
7th of 8
Difficulty 39.1%
Pac-12 title race: the road left, 2026
Remaining conference schedules for the Pac-12 title race, with remaining strength of schedule and each game's win chance from the same projections as the standings page.
Remaining conference games
Toughest road left: San Diego State, whose remaining conference opponents are 12-6.
Title-race contenders are the top four in the conference standings (including ties at that cutoff), plus any other team within one conference game of first place. Those teams are shown as cards; the rest of the conference is listed below. Estimated difficulty is for the same average-FBS team against only the conference games still to play, using current opponent strength and future venues. Ranks compare teams within this conference; 1 is toughest. Opponents' records are context, not the formula. Unranked means insufficient coverage or no remaining games. Individual game win chances below remain the existing race projections for the actual teams, not the common SOS reference team.
Title-race contenders
#2 Pac-12
Texas State
Conf 3-2 · Overall 5-4
42%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 vs Fresno State · 52% win chance
- Wk 12 vs Washington State · 85% win chance
Opponents' record
6-12
Toughest road rank
8th of 8
Difficulty 35.3%
#3 Pac-12
Utah State
Conf 3-2 · Overall 4-5
13%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 at San Diego State · 50% win chance
- Wk 12 at Oregon State · 25% win chance
Opponents' record
9-9
Toughest road rank
3rd of 8
Difficulty 52.7%
#4 Pac-12
San Diego State
Conf 3-2 · Overall 4-5
16%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 vs Utah State · 50% win chance
- Wk 12 at Boise State · 11% win chance
Opponents' record
12-6
Toughest road rank
1st of 8
Difficulty 56.2%
Rest of the conference
| Team | Still to play | Strength of schedule |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon State#5 · Conf 3-2 |
| 2Difficulty 55.8%Opponents 12-6 |
| Fresno State#6 · Conf 2-3 |
| 5Difficulty 45.7%Opponents 8-10 |
| Colorado State#7 · Conf 1-4 |
| 4Difficulty 46.7%Opponents 6-12 |
| Washington State#8 · Conf 0-5 |
| 6Difficulty 45.5%Opponents 8-10 |