#1 MAC
Buffalo
Conf 5-1 · Overall 7-3
53%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 12 vs Central Michigan · 66% win chance
- Wk 13 at Akron · 66% win chance
Opponents' record
6-14
Toughest road rank
11th of 12
Difficulty 18.7%
MAC title race: the road left, 2026
Remaining conference schedules for the MAC title race, with remaining strength of schedule and each game's win chance from the same projections as the standings page.
Remaining conference games
Toughest road left: Bowling Green, whose remaining conference opponents are 13-7.
Title-race contenders are the top four in the conference standings (including ties at that cutoff), plus any other team within one conference game of first place. Those teams are shown as cards; the rest of the conference is listed below. Estimated difficulty is for the same average-FBS team against only the conference games still to play, using current opponent strength and future venues. Ranks compare teams within this conference; 1 is toughest. Opponents' records are context, not the formula. Unranked means insufficient coverage or no remaining games. Individual game win chances below remain the existing race projections for the actual teams, not the common SOS reference team.
Title-race contenders
#2 MAC
Ohio
Conf 5-1 · Overall 7-3
44%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 12 vs Ball State · 79% win chance
- Wk 13 vs Toledo · 54% win chance
Opponents' record
11-9
Toughest road rank
6th of 12
Difficulty 25.3%
#3 MAC
Toledo
Conf 5-1 · Overall 8-2
44%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 12 vs Bowling Green · 84% win chance
- Wk 13 at Ohio · 46% win chance
Opponents' record
10-10
Toughest road rank
5th of 12
Difficulty 25.9%
#4 MAC
Western Michigan
Conf 5-1 · Overall 7-3
51%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 12 vs Eastern Michigan · 77% win chance
- Wk 13 vs Miami (OH) · 60% win chance
Opponents' record
10-10
Toughest road rank
10th of 12
Difficulty 19.5%
#5 MAC
Miami (OH)
Conf 4-2 · Overall 6-4
8%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 12 at Kent State · 69% win chance
- Wk 13 at Western Michigan · 40% win chance
Opponents' record
10-10
Toughest road rank
2nd of 12
Difficulty 34.2%
Rest of the conference
| Team | Still to play | Strength of schedule |
|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green#6 · Conf 3-3 |
| 1Difficulty 35.9%Opponents 13-7 |
| Central Michigan#7 · Conf 3-3 |
| 7Difficulty 24.2%Opponents 10-10 |
| Eastern Michigan#8 · Conf 3-3 |
| 3Difficulty 31.2%Opponents 10-10 |
| Massachusetts#9 · Conf 2-4 |
| 12Difficulty 14.2%Opponents 4-16 |
| Kent State#10 · Conf 2-4 |
| 8Difficulty 24.0%Opponents 10-10 |
| Ball State#11 · Conf 2-4 |
| 4Difficulty 31.1%Opponents 12-8 |
| Sacramento State#12 · Conf 1-7 | No games left | —Opponents — |
| Akron#13 · Conf 0-6 |
| 9Difficulty 22.7%Opponents 12-8 |