Remaining conference schedules for the Conference USA title race, with remaining strength of schedule and each game's win chance from the same projections as the standings page.
Toughest road left: Western Kentucky, whose remaining conference opponents are 18-9.
Title-race contenders are the top four in the conference standings (including ties at that cutoff), plus any other team within one conference game of first place. Those teams are shown as cards; the rest of the conference is listed below. Estimated difficulty is for the same average-FBS team against only the conference games still to play, using current opponent strength and future venues. Ranks compare teams within this conference; 1 is toughest. Opponents' records are context, not the formula. Unranked means insufficient coverage or no remaining games. Individual game win chances below remain the existing race projections for the actual teams, not the common SOS reference team.
#1 Conference USA
Conf 5-0 · Overall 7-2
>99%
title game chance
Still to play
Opponents' record
10-17
Toughest road rank
6th of 10
Difficulty 25.3%
#2 Conference USA
Conf 5-0 · Overall 8-1
99%
title game chance
Still to play
Opponents' record
11-16
Toughest road rank
10th of 10
Difficulty 18.7%
#3 Conference USA
Conf 3-2 · Overall 5-4
1%
title game chance
Still to play
Opponents' record
12-15
Toughest road rank
3rd of 10
Difficulty 37.8%
#4 Conference USA
Conf 2-3 · Overall 4-5
<1%
title game chance
Still to play
Opponents' record
14-13
Toughest road rank
4th of 10
Difficulty 29.3%
| Team | Still to play | Strength of schedule |
|---|---|---|
| Florida International#5 · Conf 2-3 |
| 5Difficulty 27.5%Opponents 8-19 |
| Kennesaw State#6 · Conf 2-3 |
| 9Difficulty 21.4%Opponents 8-19 |
| Missouri State#7 · Conf 2-3 |
| 2Difficulty 43.9%Opponents 18-9 |
| New Mexico State#8 · Conf 2-3 |
| 7Difficulty 24.7%Opponents 12-15 |
| Western Kentucky#9 · Conf 2-3 |
| 1Difficulty 44.9%Opponents 18-9 |
| Sam Houston#10 · Conf 0-5 |
| 8Difficulty 22.3%Opponents 12-15 |