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  1. College Football
  2. ›Conference races
  3. ›American
  4. ›The road left

American title race: the road left, 2026

Remaining conference schedules for the American title race, with remaining strength of schedule and each game's win chance from the same projections as the standings page.

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All conferences

Remaining conference games

Toughest road left: UAB, whose remaining conference opponents are 16-11.

Standings and title game race

Title-race contenders are the top four in the conference standings (including ties at that cutoff), plus any other team within one conference game of first place. Those teams are shown as cards; the rest of the conference is listed below. Estimated difficulty is for the same average-FBS team against only the conference games still to play, using current opponent strength and future venues. Ranks compare teams within this conference; 1 is toughest. Opponents' records are context, not the formula. Unranked means insufficient coverage or no remaining games. Individual game win chances below remain the existing race projections for the actual teams, not the common SOS reference team.

Title-race contenders

#1 American

North Texas

Conf 5-0 · Overall 7-2

75%

title game chance

Still to play

  • Wk 11 at UTSA · 46% win chance
  • Wk 12 at Tulane · 70% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs UAB · 84% win chance

Opponents' record

16-11

Toughest road rank

7th of 14

Difficulty 36.5%

#2 American

Memphis

Conf 5-1 · Overall 8-2

71%

title game chance

Still to play

  • Wk 12 at Navy · 73% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs Temple · 86% win chance

Opponents' record

5-13

Toughest road rank

9th of 14

Difficulty 36.0%

#3 American

UTSA

Conf 4-1 · Overall 7-2

37%

title game chance

Still to play

  • Wk 11 vs North Texas · 54% win chance
  • Wk 12 at UAB · 74% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs Tulsa · 74% win chance

Opponents' record

17-10

Toughest road rank

3rd of 14

Difficulty 47.2%

#4 American

Army

Conf 4-2 · Overall 5-4

14%

title game chance

Still to play

  • Wk 12 vs East Carolina · 70% win chance
  • Wk 13 at Rice · 74% win chance
  • Wk 15 vs (neutral) Navy · 68% win chance

Opponents' record

9-18

Toughest road rank

13th of 14

Difficulty 32.8%

Rest of the conference

TeamStill to playStrength of schedule
East Carolina#5 · Conf 3-2
  • Wk 11 at Charlotte · 68% win chance
  • Wk 12 at Army · 30% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs Florida Atlantic · 52% win chance
8Difficulty 36.3%Opponents 12-15
Florida Atlantic#6 · Conf 3-2
  • Wk 11 at Tulsa · 41% win chance
  • Wk 12 vs South Florida · 42% win chance
  • Wk 13 at East Carolina · 48% win chance
2Difficulty 47.3%Opponents 16-12
UAB#7 · Conf 3-2
  • Wk 11 at Temple · 51% win chance
  • Wk 12 vs UTSA · 26% win chance
  • Wk 13 at North Texas · 16% win chance
1Difficulty 47.9%Opponents 16-11
Tulsa#8 · Conf 2-3
  • Wk 11 vs Florida Atlantic · 59% win chance
  • Wk 12 vs Charlotte · 81% win chance
  • Wk 13 at UTSA · 26% win chance
14Difficulty 32.4%Opponents 14-13
Tulane#9 · Conf 2-3
  • Wk 11 at Rice · 63% win chance
  • Wk 12 vs North Texas · 30% win chance
  • Wk 13 at South Florida · 29% win chance
4Difficulty 44.6%Opponents 14-14
Navy#10 · Conf 2-4
  • Wk 12 vs Memphis · 27% win chance
  • Wk 13 at Charlotte · 64% win chance
  • Wk 15 vs (neutral) Army · 32% win chance
6Difficulty 39.8%Opponents 14-14
South Florida#11 · Conf 2-4
  • Wk 12 at Florida Atlantic · 58% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs Tulane · 71% win chance
11Difficulty 35.4%Opponents 10-8
Charlotte#12 · Conf 1-4
  • Wk 11 vs East Carolina · 32% win chance
  • Wk 12 at Tulsa · 19% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs Navy · 36% win chance
5Difficulty 42.1%Opponents 13-14
Temple#13 · Conf 1-4
  • Wk 11 vs UAB · 49% win chance
  • Wk 12 vs Rice · 61% win chance
  • Wk 13 at Memphis · 14% win chance
10Difficulty 35.7%Opponents 14-14
Rice#14 · Conf 0-5
  • Wk 11 vs Tulane · 37% win chance
  • Wk 12 at Temple · 39% win chance
  • Wk 13 vs Army · 26% win chance
12Difficulty 33.2%Opponents 11-16
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