#1 Big 12
Utah
Conf 6-0 · Overall 9-0
89%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 at Arizona · 54% win chance
- Wk 12 at TCU · 70% win chance
- Wk 13 vs West Virginia · 84% win chance
Opponents' record
16-11
Toughest road rank
7th of 16
Difficulty 67.7%
Big 12 title race: the road left, 2026
Remaining conference schedules for the Big 12 title race, with remaining strength of schedule and each game's win chance from the same projections as the standings page.
Remaining conference games
Toughest road left: Baylor, whose remaining conference opponents are 22-5.
Title-race contenders are the top four in the conference standings (including ties at that cutoff), plus any other team within one conference game of first place. Those teams are shown as cards; the rest of the conference is listed below. Estimated difficulty is for the same average-FBS team against only the conference games still to play, using current opponent strength and future venues. Ranks compare teams within this conference; 1 is toughest. Opponents' records are context, not the formula. Unranked means insufficient coverage or no remaining games. Individual game win chances below remain the existing race projections for the actual teams, not the common SOS reference team.
Title-race contenders
#2 Big 12
Texas Tech
Conf 5-1 · Overall 8-1
45%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 at Oklahoma State · 51% win chance
- Wk 12 at Baylor · 50% win chance
- Wk 13 vs TCU · 73% win chance
Opponents' record
16-11
Toughest road rank
2nd of 16
Difficulty 75.5%
#3 Big 12
Houston
Conf 4-2 · Overall 7-2
20%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 at Colorado · 77% win chance
- Wk 12 at West Virginia · 73% win chance
- Wk 13 vs Baylor · 65% win chance
Opponents' record
14-13
Toughest road rank
11th of 16
Difficulty 60.4%
#4 Big 12
BYU
Conf 4-2 · Overall 7-2
21%
title game chance
Still to play
- Wk 11 vs Baylor · 65% win chance
- Wk 12 at Kansas · 72% win chance
- Wk 13 vs Cincinnati · 77% win chance
Opponents' record
14-13
Toughest road rank
10th of 16
Difficulty 61.9%
Rest of the conference
| Team | Still to play | Strength of schedule |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona#5 · Conf 4-2 |
| 12Difficulty 59.8%Opponents 18-9 |
| Baylor#6 · Conf 4-2 |
| 1Difficulty 77.8%Opponents 22-5 |
| Oklahoma State#7 · Conf 4-2 |
| 14Difficulty 59.0%Opponents 16-11 |
| UCF#8 · Conf 3-3 |
| 16Difficulty 45.9%Opponents 12-15 |
| Arizona State#9 · Conf 3-3 |
| 3Difficulty 75.2%Opponents 18-9 |
| Iowa State#10 · Conf 2-4 |
| 15Difficulty 53.3%Opponents 14-13 |
| West Virginia#11 · Conf 2-4 | 5Difficulty 71.3%Opponents 19-8 | |
| Cincinnati#12 · Conf 2-4 |
| 13Difficulty 59.5%Opponents 14-13 |
| TCU#13 · Conf 2-4 |
| 8Difficulty 67.0%Opponents 21-6 |
| Colorado#14 · Conf 1-5 |
| 9Difficulty 65.2%Opponents 17-10 |
| Kansas State#15 · Conf 1-5 |
| 6Difficulty 69.2%Opponents 15-12 |
| Kansas#16 · Conf 1-5 |
| 4Difficulty 72.5%Opponents 18-9 |